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Springboard: Easter Weekend Footfall Predictions

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According to retail experts Springboard, Easter weekend UK footfall is forecast to rise by +2.1%, bringing a sigh of relief to high streets and retail parks in what has been a challenging year for retail. The forecast anticipates a bounce back over the key trading period from what was an exceptionally poor Easter last year.

In 2018, the ‘Beast from the East’ caused retail footfall to drop, particularly in high streets where footfall declined by -7.5% over the weekend as a whole, with drops in excess of -6% every day. Furthermore, Easter last year was at the end of the month; therefore household budgets were likely to have been restricted due to the pay cycle.  This year Easter falls three weeks later, in the middle of the month, which provides more spending leeway for consumers.

Springboard Insights Director, Diane Wehrle comments;

‘Despite the forecast degree of uplift in footfall, this is constrained due to subdued consumer spending that currently prevails, therefore the forecast increase of +2.1% does not wholly make up for the drop of -3.3% last Easter.’

The vast majority of the rise in footfall over Easter this year is forecast to emanate from high streets, where it is predicted that footfall will be +4.1% higher this Easter weekend than over Easter last year, and footfall in retail parks is also forecast to be +1.7% higher.  The much larger predicted footfall increase in high streets this year is a consequence of an anticipated bounce back from the very low comparable last year of -7.5% versus rises of +0.7% in retail parks and +1.5% in shopping centres when poor weather meant that shoppers sought easy to access and covered shopping environments. However, this year footfall over Easter in shopping centres is forecast to drop by -1.9%, an outcome of subdued consumer spending, one of the prevailing challenges for multiple retailers this year.

Springboard Insights Director, Diane Wehrle adds:

‘With today’s ongoing demand for experience over transaction based trips, many shopping centres are unable to satisfy the needs of their consumers due to a poorer hospitality offer than in high streets.’

Forecast for Footfall – Easter 2019 – Year on year % change from the same days in 2018

 

High Streets

Retail Parks

Shopping Centres

UK Footfall

Good Friday – 19th April

+6.0%

+1.5%

-2.0%

+2.9%

Easter Saturday – 20th April

+4.0%

+2.5%

-1.0%

+2.4%

Easter Sun – 21st April

+0.5%

 

 

 

Easter Monday – 22nd April

+5.0%

+1.0%

-3.0%

+2.0%

Easter Weekend – 19th to 22nd April

+4.1%

+1.7%

-1.9%

+2.1%

 

Footfall – Easter 2018 – Year on year % change from the same days in 2017

 

High Streets

Retail Parks

Shopping Centres

UK Footfall

Good Friday – 30th March

-9.6%

+4.4%

+5.8%

-2.4%

Easter Saturday – 31st March

-6.9%

+0.5%

+1.5%

-3.0%

Easter Sunday – 1st April

+1.9%

 

 

 

Easter Monday – 2nd April

-8.8%

+0.1%

-2.0%

-5.0%

Easter Weekend – 30th March to 2nd April

-7.5%

+0.7%

+1.5%

-3.3%

Source : Insight DIY and Springboard

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17 April 2019

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